Review: Once upon a time in Mumbaai

This is a 70’s era Bollywood movie with two fine actors pitted in a classic genre- stylish mafia drama. An ensemble supporting cast, pretty images to see a classic not so crowded Bombay (as it was called)- it actually draws inspiration from real life gangsters. With fine music and good action as well, this movie can be good for your time-

Protected: Analyzing SAS Institute-WPS Lawsuit

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Open Source and Software Strategy

Curt Monash at Monash Research pointed out some ongoing open source GPL issues for WordPress and the Thesis issue (Also see http://ma.tt/2009/04/oracle-and-open-source/ and  http://www.mattcutts.com/blog/switching-things-around/).

As a user of both going upwards of 2 years- I believe open source and GPL license enforcement are general parts of software strategy of most software companies nowadays. Some thoughts on  open source and software strategy-Thesis remains a very very popular theme and has earned upwards of 100,000 $ for its creator (estimate based on 20k plus installs and 60$ avg price)

  • Little guys like to give away code to get some satisfaction/ recognition, big guys give away free code only when its necessary or when they are not making money in that product segment anyway.
  • As Ethan Hunt said, ” Every Hero needs a Villian”. Every software (market share) war between players needs One Big Company Holding more market share and Open Source Strategy between other player who is not able to create in house code, so effectively out sources by creating open source project. But same open source propent rarely gives away the secret to its own money making project.
    • Examples- Google creates open source Android, but wont reveal its secret algorithm for search which drives its main profits,
    • Google again puts a paper for MapReduce but it’s Yahoo that champions Hadoop,
    • Apple creates open source projects (http://www.apple.com/opensource/) but wont give away its Operating Source codes (why?) which help people buys its more expensive hardware,
    • IBM who helped kickstart the whole proprietary code thing (remember MS DOS) is the new champion of open source (http://www.ibm.com/developerworks/opensource/) and
    • Microsoft continues to spark open source debate but read http://blogs.technet.com/b/microsoft_blog/archive/2010/07/02/a-perspective-on-openness.aspx and  also http://www.microsoft.com/opensource/
    • SAS gives away a lot of open source code (Read Jim Davis , CMO SAS here , but will stick to Base SAS code (even though it seems to be making more money by verticals focus and data mining).
    • SPSS was the first big analytics company that helps supports R (open source stats software) but will cling to its own code on its softwares.
    • WordPress.org gives away its software (and I like Akismet just as well as blogging) for open source, but hey as anyone who is on WordPress.com knows how locked in you can get by its (pricy) platform.
    • Vendor Lock-in (wink wink price escalation) is the elephant in the room for Big Software Proprietary Companies.
    • SLA Quality, Maintenance and IP safety is the uh-oh for going in for open source software mostly.
  • Lack of IP protection for revenue models for open source code is the big bottleneck  for a lot of companies- as very few software users know what to do with source code if you give it to them anyways.
    • If companies were confident that they would still be earning same revenue and there would be less leakage or theft, they would gladly give away the source code.
    • Derivative softwares or extensions help popularize the original softwares.
      • Half Way Steps like Facebook Applications  the original big company to create a platform for third party creators),
      • IPhone Apps and Android Applications show success of creating APIs to help protect IP and software control while still giving some freedom to developers or alternate
      • User Interfaces to R in both SAS/IML and JMP is a similar example
  • Basically open source is mostly done by under dog while top dog mostly rakes in money ( and envy)
  • There is yet to a big commercial success in open source software, though they are very good open source softwares. Just as Google’s success helped establish advertising as an alternate ( and now dominant) revenue source for online companies , Open Source needs a big example of a company that made billions while giving source code away and still retaining control and direction of software strategy.
  • Open source people love to hate proprietary packages, yet there are more shades of grey (than black and white) and hypocrisy (read lies) within  the open source software movement than the regulated world of big software. People will be still people. Software is just a piece of code.  😉

(Art citation-http://gapingvoid.com/about/ and http://gapingvoidgallery.com/

Kill Analytics

I rarely write on Politics- rather I mostly present statistics on poverty, third world, offshoring etc and would rather invite people to draw their own conclusions. But something I read in the New York Times, yes , THAT liberal and well written newspaper causes me to remember a rather obscure branch of analytics- related to defence personnel operations. It’s kill ratios- or the ratio of  number of casualties on each side in a war.

While it is easier to estimate, define and measure kill ratios in conventional warfare, kill ratios can be sometimes misleading as predictors of victory (i.e Tet Offensive was a massive victory for the United States in terms of kill ratios, but the number of US casualties hastened the decision to end that war).

When it comes to Terrorism, kill ratios are even more skewed. 19 Terrorists caused September 11 that killed 3000 people, nearly all civilians. An unmanned drone attack kills 20 people in Pakistan, but causes some people to become car bomb terrorists,thus creating some terrorists and killing some.

An excerpt from the book, ” The Age of the Unthinkable” comes to mind in which the Israeli defence statisticians even came up with a precise number for ratio of innocents killed to terrorists killed, which is acceptable for a military solution. That along with some network analysis in Terror organizations, in which nodes to kill or disrupt for maximum ratio of benefit/cost is a very lucrative and secretive branch , called Security Analysis or what I term as kill analytics. Some of those hitherto secret kill algorithms would be better used in product marketing- however I wish the opposite was true (selling terrorists shampoo and get them hooked on Facebook rather than go with the flow). But thats an ideal world !

Color of Statistics

A short analysis on the ASA Directory at http://www.amstat.org/membership/directory/search.cfm

and http://www.amstat.org/minorities/index.cfm

There are 15904 Total Members out of which if broken done by Race/Color

  • 172 Minority Statisticians
  • 68 Black
  • 12 Hispanic (this looks too less so I suspect the directory is incomplete)

Even optimistically the color of statisticians is overwhelmingly as follows (assuming that minority data is under counted by 10X- so multiplying the minority data by 10 and then taking percentage)

89 % White

4 % Black and

7% Non Black Minorities (presumably Indian, Chinese, Hispanic).

I tried to find some statistics on fresh maths/stats graduates by race but did not find some. Surely this calls for some thought ? 😉

Review- Iron Man2

Tony Stark is back! and he is cooler, with a hotter sidekick (Scarlett J),better villain (Mickey Rourke), cooler robots, and plus the same old winning sequel formula. Kind of like Matrix 2 had all the multiple Agent Smiths we get some multiple drone attacks versus Iron Man (or Men- as D Cheadle becomes the second Iron Man, stealing his suit – but whats an Iron Man suit between friends). Watch it- summer is here and can Hollywood Comic Book masala movies be far behind. I especially like the charming way Downey Jr and Rourke can fill the screen- thus proving better actors make even comic books more fun.

Review: Clash of the Titans

This is a good old fashioned action movie disguised as a Greek drama with special effects. I saw the movie in 2D

and it seemed all right. Sam Worthington was awesome as the blood and guts Greek hero, and the cast was nice as well.

The struggles of Perseus, against mighty crabs, assasins, Hades (played by Ralph Fiennes) and titans like Medusa and Kraken all contribute to make a magnificent story . Not since Troy has a classic story like this gained so much attention.

I am not sure if watching in 3D is going to be more entertaining, but the movie was quite nice in action  and sword fights.

Recommended especially for a day when you need a movie break!