Tag: research

2011 Forecast-ying

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I had recently asked some friends from my Twitter lists for their take on 2011, atleast 3 of them responded back with the answer, 1 said they were still on it, and 1 claimed a recent office event.

Anyways- I take note of the view of forecasting from

http://www.uiah.fi/projekti/metodi/190.htm

The most primitive method of forecasting is guessing. The result may be rated acceptable if the person making the guess is an expert in the matter.

Ajay- people will forecast in end 2010 and 2011. many of them will get forecasts wrong, some very wrong, but by Dec 2011 most of them would be writing forecasts on 2012. almost no one will get called on by irate users-readers- (hey you got 4 out of 7 wrong last years forecast!) just wont happen. people thrive on hope. so does marketing. in 2011- and before

and some forecasts from Tom Davenport’s The International Institute for Analytics (IIA) at

http://iianalytics.com/2010/12/2011-predictions-for-the-analytics-industry/

Regulatory and privacy constraints will continue to hamper growth of marketing analytics.

(I wonder how privacy and analytics can co exist in peace forever- one view is that model building can use anonymized data suppose your IP address was anonymized using a standard secret Coco-Cola formula- then whatever model does get built would not be of concern to you individually as your privacy is protected by the anonymization formula)

Anyway- back to the question I asked-

What are the top 5 events in your industry (events as in things that occured not conferences) and what are the top 3 trends in 2011.

I define my industry as being online technology writing- research (with a heavy skew on stat computing)

My top 5 events for 2010 were-

1) Consolidation- Big 5 software providers in BI and Analytics bought more, sued more, and consolidated more.  The valuations rose. and rose. leading to even more smaller players entering. Thus consolidation proved an oxy moron as total number of influential AND disruptive players grew.

 

2) Cloudy Computing- Computing shifted from the desktop but to the mobile and more to the tablet than to the cloud. Ipad front end with Amazon Ec2 backend- yup it happened.

3) Open Source grew louder- yes it got more clients. and more revenue. did it get more market share. depends on if you define market share by revenues or by users.

Both Open Source and Closed Source had a good year- the pie grew faster and bigger so no one minded as long their slices grew bigger.

4) We didnt see that coming –

Technology continued to surprise with events (thats what we love! the surprises)

Revolution Analytics broke through R’s Big Data Barrier, Tableau Software created a big Buzz,  Wikileaks and Chinese FireWalls gave technology an entire new dimension (though not universally popular one).

people fought wars on emails and servers and social media- unfortunately the ones fighting real wars in 2009 continued to fight them in 2010 too

5) Money-

SAP,SAS,IBM,Oracle,Google,Microsoft made more money than ever before. Only Facebook got a movie named on itself. Venture Capitalists pumped in money in promising startups- really as if in a hurry to park money before tax cuts expired in some countries.

 

2011 Top Three Forecasts

1) Surprises- Expect to get surprised atleast 10 % of the time in business events. As internet grows the communication cycle shortens, the hype cycle amplifies buzz-

more unstructured data  is created (esp for marketing analytics) leading to enhanced volatility

2) Growth- Yes we predict technology will grow faster than the automobile industry. Game changers may happen in the form of Chrome OS- really its Linux guys-and customer adaptability to new USER INTERFACES. Design will matter much more in technology on your phone, on your desktop and on your internet. Packaging sells.

False Top Trend 3) I will write a book on business analytics in 2011. yes it is true and I am working with A publisher. No it is not really going to be a top 3 event for anyone except me,publisher and lucky guys who read it.

3) Creating technology and technically enabling creativity will converge at an accelerated rate. use of widgets, guis, snippets, ide will ensure creative left brains can code easier. and right brains can design faster and better due to a global supply chain of techie and artsy professionals.

 

 

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EU files anti trust against Google to reduce budget deficit

From the Old Lady-

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/01/technology/01google.html?_r=1&hpw

Google’s dominance on the Internet has been a sore point in Europe, where it controls more than 80 percent of the online search market, compared with about 66 percent in the United States, according to comScore, a research firm.

and

If Google is found in violation of European competition law, the commission has the power to fine it up to 10 percent of its annual revenue, which totaled more than $23 billion last year.

Before settling last year, Microsoft had paid fines of about $2.4 billion over the past decade in a long-running antitrust case in Brussels that focused on the Windows operating system.

In another case, the commission fined Intel about $1.45 billion for abusing its dominance in the computer chip market.


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Maybe Google should ask the European Union to buy a groupon for anti trust cases.

Related–

11 Ways to Beat Google

 

 

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Gartner BI and Inf Mgmt Summit 2011- 30 min One on Ones

From the land Down Under, where Gartner gathers business summit thunder.

http://www.gartner.com/technology/summits/apac/business-intelligence/index.jsp

Gartner Business Intelligence
& Information Management Summit 2011

February 22 – 23 • Sydney, AUSTRALIA
gartner.com/ap/bi

 Register Now

From Information to Intelligence:

Evaluate, Execute and Evolve

At Gartner Business Intelligence & Information Management Summit 2011 you will experience a unique mix of Gartner research presentations, guest keynote addresses, real-life case studies and interactive panel discussions to provide you with a holistic view of the business intelligence and performance management landscape. Information, insight and advice are channeled through an increasingly targeted and focused approach, taking you from the high-level strategic view all the way to your specific issue.

Click here to view the full agenda or download the brochure.

AGENDA HIGHLIGHTS

teamsend


Guest Keynote Address
Future Thinking – Global Trends and Thinking that are Upending your Business

Anders Sorman-Nilsson
Creative Director, Thinque

Click here to read more about this session.

Best Practice Workshops:

  • How to Become an Effective Data Warehouse Modeler
  • Analytics – Business Intelligence and Performance Management ITScore

Analyst User Roundtables:

  • Enterprise Information Management – Focusing on What Matters to the Business
  • Sharepoint – thin edge of the wedge to the MS family
  • Preparing for the 2020 workplace

Worldwide Expertise at Your Fingertips!
Your questions on Business Intelligence and Performance Management answered. Meet the Gartner Analysts presenting at the Summit and book your exclusive 30 minute one-on-one ( lap top dance) with the Analysts of your choice.

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PAWCON Bay Area March

The biggest Predictive Analytics Conference comes back to the SF Bay in March next year.

From

http://www.predictiveanalyticsworld.com/sanfrancisco/2011/

Predictive Analytics World March 2011 in San Francisco is packed with the top predictive analytics experts, practitioners, authors and business thought leaders, including keynote speakers:


Sugato Basu, Ph.D.
Senior Research Scientist
Google
Lessons Learned in Predictive Modeling 
for Ad Targeting
Eric Siegel, Ph.D.
Conference Chair
Predictive Analytics World
Five Ways Predictive Analytics
Cuts Enterprise Risk



Plus special plenary sessions from industry heavy-weights:


Andreas S. Weigend, Ph.D.
weigend.com
Former Chief Scientist, Amazon.com
The State of the Social Data Revoltion
John F. Elder, Ph.D.
CEO and Founder
Elder Research
Data Mining Lessons Learned



Predictive Analytics World focuses on concrete examples of deployed predictive analytics. Hear from the horse’s mouth precisely how Fortune 500 analytics competitors and other top practitioners deploy predictive modeling, and what kind of business impact it delivers. Click here to view the agenda at-a-glance.

PAW SF 2011 will feature speakers with case studies from leading enterprises. such as:

PAW’s March agenda covers hot topics and advanced methods such as uplift (net lift) modeling, ensemble models, social data, search marketing, crowdsourcing, blackbox trading, fraud detection, risk management, survey analysis and otherinnovative applications that benefit organizations in new and creative ways.

Join PAW and access the best keynotes, sessions, workshops, exposition, expert panel, live demos, networking coffee breaks, reception, birds-of-a-feather lunches, brand-name enterprise leaders, and industry heavyweights in the business.

 

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Sugar CRM: Forrester Webinar

Analytické CRM
Image via Wikipedia

https://sugarcrmevents.webex.com/mw0306lb/mywebex/default.do?nomenu=true&siteurl=sugarcrmevents&service=6&main_url=https://sugarcrmevents.webex.com/ec0605lb/eventcenter/event/eventAction.do%3FtheAction%3Ddetail%26confViewID%3D279191911%26siteurl%3Dsugarcrmevents%26%26%26

Date and time:

Thursday, December 2, 2010 11:00 am 
Pacific Standard Time (San Francisco, GMT-08:00) 
Change time zone
Thursday, December 2, 2010 2:00 pm 
Eastern Standard Time (New York, GMT-05:00)
Thursday, December 2, 2010 7:00 pm
Western European Time (London, GMT)
Thursday, December 2, 2010 8:00 pm
Europe Time (Berlin, GMT+01:00)
Duration: 1 hour
Description:
Every organization wants to improve the way they manage their customer relationships. But until recently, adding robust CRM tools to your organization was a time consuming and cost prohibitive endeavor for many resources-constrained organizations. Until Now. On December 2 join us to learn how new developments in technology like open source, cloud computing and web 2.0 – are making it easier than ever to add a top notch CRM system to your operations. 

 

This live webinar hosted by SugarCRM will feature Forrester Research, Inc. Vice President William Band, named one CRM Magazine’s 2007 Influential Leaders. Mr. Band will discuss the current state of the market, review the major trends affecting the CRM landscape, and discuss some criteria you can use to ensure your next CRM decision is the right one.

In addition, all attendees of the live webinar will receive a complimentary download a recent Forrester Wave™ Report! Register today!

Speakers:

William Band, Vice President, Forrester Research
Martin Schneider, Sr. Director Communications, SugarCRM

Who Should Attend:
VP Sales, VP Marketing, CIO’s, Head of Customer Support and other technical decision makers
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Brief Interview Timo Elliott

Here is a brief interview with Timo Elliott.Timo Elliott is a 19-year veteran of SAP Business Objects.

Ajay- What are the top 5 events in Business Integration and Data Visualization services you saw in 2010 and what are the top three trends you see in these in 2011.


Timo-

Top five events in 2010:

(1) Back to strong market growth. IT spending plummeted last year (BI continued to grow, but more slowly than previous years). This year, organizations reopened their wallets and funded new analytics initiatives — all the signs indicate that BI market growth will be double that of 2009.

(2) The launch of the iPad. Mobile BI has been around for years, but the iPad opened the floodgates of organizations taking a serious look at mobile analytics — and the easy-to-use, executive-friendly iPad dashboards have considerably raised the profile of analytics projects inside organizations.

(3) Data warehousing got exciting again. Decades of incremental improvements (column databases, massively parallel processing, appliances, in-memory processing…) all came together with robust commercial offers that challenged existing data storage and calculation methods. And new “NoSQL” approaches, designed for the new problems of massive amounts of less-structured web data, started moving into the mainstream.

(4) The end of Google Wave, the start of social BI.Google Wave was launched as a rethink of how we could bring together email, instant messaging, and social networks. While Google decided to close down the technology this year, it has left its mark, notably by influencing the future of “social BI”, with several major vendors bringing out commercial products this year.

(5) The start of the big BI merge. While several small independent BI vendors reported strong growth, the major trend of the year was consolidation and integration: the BI megavendors (SAP, Oracle, IBM, Microsoft) increased their market share (sometimes by acquiring smaller vendors, e.g. IBM/SPSS and SAP/Sybase) and integrated analytics with their existing products, blurring the line between BI and other technology areas.

Top three trends next year:

(1) Analytics, reinvented. New DW techniques make it possible to do sub-second, interactive analytics directly against row-level operational data. Now BI processes and interfaces need to be rethought and redesigned to make best use of this — notably by blurring the distinctions between the “design” and “consumption” phases of BI.

(2) Corporate and personal BI come together. The ability to mix corporate and personal data for quick, pragmatic analysis is a common business need. The typical solution to the problem — extracting and combining the data into a local data store (either Excel or a departmental data mart) — pleases users, but introduces duplication and extra costs and makes a mockery of information governance. 2011 will see the rise of systems that let individuals and departments load their data into personal spaces in the corporate environment, allowing pragmatic analytic flexibility without compromising security and governance.

(3) The next generation of business applications. Where are the business applications designed to support what people really do all day, such as implementing this year’s strategy, launching new products, or acquiring another company? 2011 will see the first prototypes of people-focused, flexible, information-centric, and collaborative applications, bringing together the best of business intelligence, “enterprise 2.0”, and existing operational applications.

And one that should happen, but probably won’t:

(4) Intelligence = Information + PEOPLE. Successful analytics isn’t about technology — it’s about people, process, and culture. The biggest trend in 2011 should be organizations spending the majority of their efforts on user adoption rather than technical implementation.                 About- http://timoelliott.com/blog/about

Timo Elliott is a 19-year veteran of SAP BusinessObjects, and has spent the last twenty years working with customers around the world on information strategy.

He works closely with SAP research and innovation centers around the world to evangelize new technology prototypes.

His popular Business Analytics and SAPWeb20 blogs track innovation in analytics and social media, including topics such as augmented corporate reality, collaborative decision-making, and social network analysis.

His PowerPoint Twitter Tools lets presenters see and react to tweets in real time, embedded directly within their slides.

A popular and engaging speaker, Elliott presents regularly to IT and business audiences at international conferences, on subjects such as why BI projects fail and what to do about it, and the intersection of BI and enterprise 2.0.

Prior to Business Objects, Elliott was a computer consultant in Hong Kong and led analytics projects for Shell in New Zealand. He holds a first-class honors degree in Economics with Statistics from Bristol University, England. He blogs on http://timoelliott.com/blog/ (one of the best designed blogs in BI) . You can see more about him personal web site here and photo/sketch blog here. You should follow Timo at http://twitter.com/timoelliott

Art Credit- Timo Elliott

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Jobs in Analytics

Here are some jobs from Vincent Granville, founder Analyticbridge. Please contact him directly- I just thought the Season of Joy should have better jobs than currently.

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Several job ads recently posted on DataShaping / AnalyticBridge, across United Sates and in Europe. Use the DataShaping search box to find more opportunities.

Job ads are posted at:

 

Selected opportunities:

Quantitative Modeling Consultants – Agilex (Alexandria, VA)
Sr. Software Development Engineers – Agilex (Alexandria, VA)
Actuary – FBL Financial Group (Des Moines, IA)
Relevance scientist – Yandex Labs (Palo Alto, CA)
Research Engineer, Search Ranking – Chomp (San Francisco, CA)
Mathematical Modeling and Optimization – Exxon (Clinton, NJ)
Data Analyst – DISH Network (Englewood, CO)
Sr Aviation Planning Research & Data Analyst – Port of Seattle (Seattle, WA)
Statistician / Quantitative Analyst – Indeed (Austin, TX)
Statistician – Pratt & Whitney (East Hartford, CT)
Biostatistician – The J. David Gladstone Institutes (San Francisco, CA)
Customer Service Representative (oklahoma, OK)
Program Associate – Cambridge Systematics (Washington D.C., DC)
Sr Risk Analyst – Paypal (Omaha, NE)
Sr. Actuarial Analyst – Farmers (Simi Valley, CA)
Senior Statistician, Data Services – Equifax (Alpharetta, GA)
Business Intelligence Analyst – Burbery (NYC, NY)
Fact Extraction – Amazon (Seattle, WA)
Senior Researcher – Bing (Bellevue, WA)
Senior Statistical Research Analyst – Walt Disney (Lake Buena Vista, FL)
Statistician – Capital One (Nottingham, NH)
Lead Data Analyst – Barclays (Northampton, UK)
Analytical Data Scientist – Aviagen (Huntsville, AL or Edinburgh, UK)
VP of Engineering for Analytics (Bay Area, CA)
Senior Software Engineer – Numenta (Redwood City, CA)
Numenta Internship Program – Numenta (Redwood City, CA)
Director of Analytics – Mozilla Corporation (Mountain View, CA)
Senior Sales Engineer – Statsoft (NY, NY)

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