Possible Digital Disruptions by Cyber Actors in USA Electoral Cycle

Some possible electronic disruptions  that threaten to disrupt the electoral cycle in United States of America currently underway is-

1) Limited Denial of Service Attacks (like for 5-8 minutes) on fund raising websites, trying to fly under the radar of network administrators to deny the targeted  fundraising website for a small percentage of funds . Money remains critical to the world’s most expensive political market. Even a 5% dropdown in online fund-raising capacity can cripple a candidate.

2)  Limited Man of the Middle  Attacks on ground volunteers to disrupt ,intercept and manipulate communication flows. Basically cyber attacks at vulnerable ground volunteers in critical counties /battleground /swing states (like Florida)

3) Electro-Magnetic Disruptions of Electronic Voting Machines in critical counties /swing states (like Florida) to either disrupt, manipulate or create an impression that some manipulation has been done.

4) Use search engine flooding (for search engine de-optimization of rival candidates keywords), and social media flooding for disrupting the listening capabilities of sentiment analysis.

5) Selected leaks (including using digital means to create authetntic, fake or edited collateral) timed to embarrass rivals or influence voters , this can be geo-coded and mass deployed.

6) using Internet communications to selectively spam or influence independent or opinionated voters through emails, short messaging service , chat channels, social media.

7) Disrupt the Hillary for President 2016 campaign by Anonymous-Wikileak sympathetic hacktivists.

 

 

How big is R on CRAN #rstats

3.87 GB and 3786 packages. Thats what you need to install the whole of R as on CRAN

( Note- Many IT administrators /Compliance Policies in enterprises forbid installing from the Internet in work offices.

Which is where the analytics,$$, and people are)

As downloaded from the CRAN Mirror at UCLA.

Takes 3 hours to download at 1 mbps (I was on an Amazon Ec2 instance)

See screenshot.

Next question- who is the man responsible in the R project for deleting old /depreciated/redundant packages if the authors dont do it.

 

Webscraping using iMacros

The noted Diamonds dataset in the ggplot2 package of R is actually culled from the website http://www.diamondse.info/diamond-prices.asp

However it has ~55000 diamonds, while the whole Diamonds search engine has almost ten times that number. Using iMacros – a Google Chrome Plugin, we can scrape that data (or almost any data). The iMacros chrome plugin is available at  https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/cplklnmnlbnpmjogncfgfijoopmnlemp while notes on coding are at http://wiki.imacros.net

Imacros makes coding as easy as recording macro and the code is automatcially generated for whatever actions you do. You can set parameters to extract only specific parts of the website, and code can be run into a loop (of 9999 times!)

Here is the iMacros code-Note you need to navigate to the web site http://www.diamondse.info/diamond-prices.asp before running it

VERSION BUILD=5100505 RECORDER=CR
FRAME F=1
SET !EXTRACT_TEST_POPUP NO
SET !ERRORIGNORE YES
TAG POS=6 TYPE=TABLE ATTR=TXT:* EXTRACT=TXT
TAG POS=1 TYPE=DIV ATTR=CLASS:paginate_enabled_next
SAVEAS TYPE=EXTRACT FOLDER=* FILE=test+3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

and voila- all the diamonds you need to analyze!

The returning data can be read using the standard delimiter data munging in the language of SAS or R.

More on IMacros from

https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/cplklnmnlbnpmjogncfgfijoopmnlemp/details

Description

Automate your web browser. Record and replay repetitious work

If you encounter any problems with iMacros for Chrome, please let us know in our Chrome user forum at http://forum.iopus.com/viewforum.php?f=21

Our forum is also the best place for new feature suggestions :-)
----

iMacros was designed to automate the most repetitious tasks on the web. If there’s an activity you have to do repeatedly, just record it in iMacros. The next time you need to do it, the entire macro will run at the click of a button! With iMacros, you can quickly and easily fill out web forms, remember passwords, create a webmail notifier, and more. You can keep the macros on your computer for your own use, use them within bookmark sync / Xmarks or share them with others by embedding them on your homepage, blog, company Intranet or any social bookmarking service as bookmarklet. The uses are limited only by your imagination!

Popular uses are as web macro recorder, form filler on steroids and highly-secure password manager (256-bit AES encryption).


FaceBook IPO- Who hacked whom?

Some thoughts on the FB IPO-

1) Is Zuck reading emails on his honeymoon? Where is he?

2) In 3 days FB lost 34 billion USD in market valuation. Thats enough to buy AOL,Yahoo, LinkedIn and Twitter (combined)

3) People are now shorting FB based on 3-4 days of trading performance. Maybe they know more ARIMA !

4) Who made money on the over-pricing in terms on employees who sold on 1 st day, financial bankers who did the same?

5) Who lost money on the first three days due to Nasdaq’s problems?

6) What is the exact technical problem that Nasdaq had?

7) The much deplored FaceBook Price/Earnings ratio (99) is still comparable to AOL’s (85) and much less than LI (620!). see http://www.google.com/finance?cid=296878244325128

8) Maybe FB can stop copying Google’s ad model (which Google invented) and go back to the drawing table. Like a FB kind of Paypal

9) There are more experts on the blogosphere than experts in Wall Street.

10) No blogger is willing to admit that they erred in the optimism on the great white IPO hope.

I did. Mea culpa. I thought FB is a good stock. I would buy it still- but the rupee tanked by 10% since past 1 week against the dollar.

 

I am now waiting for Chinese social network market to open with IPO’s. Thats walled gardens within walled gardens of Jade and Bamboo.

Related- Art Work of Another 100 billion dollar company (2006)

Happy $100 Billion to Mark Zuckerberg Productions !

Heres to an expected $100 billion market valuation to the latest Silicon Valley Legend, Facebook- A Mark Zuckerberg Production.

Some milestones that made FB what it is-

1) Beating up MySpace, Ibibo, Google Orkut combined

2) Smart timely acquisitions from Friend feed , to Instagram

3) Superb infrastructure for 900 million accounts, fast interface rollouts, and a policy of never deleting data. Some of this involved creating new technology like Cassandra. There have been no anti-trust complaints against FB’s behavior particularly as it simply stuck to being the cleanest interface offering a social network

4) Much envied and copied features like Newsfeed, App development on the FB platform, Social Gaming as revenue streams

5) Replacing Google as the hot techie employer, just like Google did to Microsoft.

6) An uncanny focus, including walking away from a billion dollars from Yahoo,resisting Google, Apple’s Ping, imposing design changes unilaterally, implementing data sharing only with flexible partners  and strategic investors (like Bing)

FB has made more money for more people than any other company in the past ten years. Here’s wishing it an even more interesting next ten years! With 900 million users if they could integrate a PayPal like system, or create an alternative to Adsense for content creators, they could create an all new internet economy – one which is more open than the Google dominated internet ; 0

 

Software Review- Google Drive versus Dropbox

Here are some notes from reviewing Google Drive  https://drive.google.com/ vs Dropbox https://www.dropbox.com/.

1) Google Drive gives more free space upfront  than Dropbox.5GB versus 2GB

2) Dropbox has a referral system 500 mb per referral while there is no referral system for Google Drive

3) The sync facility with Google Docs makes Google Drive especially useful for prior users of Google Docs.

4) API access to Google Drive is only for Chrome apps which is intriguing!

https://developers.google.com/drive/apps_overview

Apps will not have any API access to files unless users have first installed the app in Chrome Web Store.

You can use the Dropbox API much more easily –

See the platforms at

https://www.dropbox.com/developers/start/core

Choose your platform:

iOS Android Python Ruby

But-

(though I wonder if you set the R working directory to the local shared drive for Google Drive it should sync up as well but of course be slower –http://scrogster.wordpress.com/2011/01/29/using-dropbox-with-r-2/)

5) Google Drive icon is ugly (seriously, dude!) , but the features in the Windows app is just the same as the Dropbox App. Too similar 😉

 

6) Upgrade space is much more cheaper to Google Drive than Dropbox ( by Google Drive prices being exactly  a quarter of prices on Dropbox and max storage being 16 times as much). This will affect power storage users. I expect to see some slowdown in Dropbox new business unless G Drive has outage (like Gmail) . Existing users at Dropbox probably wont shift for the small dollar amount- though it is quite easy to do so.

 

Install Google Drive on your local workstation and cut and paste your Dropbox local folder to the Google Drive local folder!!

7) Dropbox deserves credit for being first (like Hotmail and AOL) but Google Drive is almost better in all respects!

Google Drive

Free
5 GB of Drive (0% used)
10 GB of Gmail (48% used)
1 GB of Picasa (0% used)

Upgrade:

25 GB
2,49 $ / Month
+25 GB for Drive and Picasa
Bonus: Your Gmail storage will be upgraded to 25 GB.
Choose this plan

100 GB
4,99 $ / Month
+100 GB for Drive and Picasa
Bonus: Your Gmail storage will be upgraded to 25 GB.
Choose this plan

 Need more storage?

Up to 16 TB available

Dropbox–

Current account type

Large DropboxDropbox Badge greenFree
Free
Up to 18 GB (2 GB + 500 MB per referral)
Account info 

Other account types

Large DropboxDropbox Badge orange50 GB +
Pro 50
+1 GB per referral, up to +32 GB
$9.99/month or $99.00/year Upgrade to Pro 50
Large DropboxDropbox Badge purple100 GB +
Pro 100
+1 GB per referral, up to +32 GB
$19.99/month or $199.00/year Upgrade to Pro 100
Triple DropboxDropbox For Teams Badge1 TB +
Teams
Plans starting at 1 TB
Large shared quota, centralized admin and billing, and more!