Who will forecast for the forecasters?

An interesting blog post appeared here at http://www.information-management.com/blogs/business_intelligence_bi_statistics-10016491-1.html basically laying down the competitive landscape for analytical companies.

“-One safe bet is that IBM, with newly-acquired SPSS and Cognos, is gearing up to take on SAS in the high-end enterprise analytics market that features very large data and operational analytics with significant capacity challenges. In this segment, IBM can leverage its hardware, database and consulting strengths to become a formidable SAS competitor.

and

A number of start-up companies promoting competitive SAS language tools at a fraction of SAS prices may begin chipping away at many SAS annuity customers. As I wrote in last week’s blog, WPS from World Programming Systems is an outstanding SAS compiler that can replace expensive SAS licenses in many cases – especially those primarily used for data step programs. Similarly, another competitor, Carolina, from Dulles Research, LLC, converts Base SAS program code to Java, which can then be deployed in a Java run-time environment. Large SAS customer Discover Card is currently evaluating Carolina as a replacement for some its SAS applications.

CITATION-Steve Miller’s blog can also be found at miller.openbi.com.”

I think all companies have hired smart enough people and many of their efforts would cancel each other out in a true game theory manner.

I also find it extremely hypocritical for commercial vendors not to incentive R algorithm developers and treat the 2000 plus packages as essentially free ware.

If used for academics and research, R package creators expect and demand no money. But if used commercially – shouldnt the leading analytical vendors like SAS, SPSS, and even the newly cash infused REVolution create some kind of royalty sharing agreement.

If iTunes can help sell songs for 99 cents per download and really help the Music industry come to the next generation- how much would commercial vendors agree to share their solutions which ARE DEPENDENT on popular R packages like Plier or even Dr Frank’s Hmisc.

Unless you think Britney Spears has a better right to intellectual property than venerable professors and academics.

Even a monthly 10000 USD prize for the best R package created ( that can be used by that specific company’s use for commercial packages) can help speed up the R software movement- just like NetFlix prize.

More importantly – it can free up valuable resources for companies to concentrate on customer solutions like data quality, systems integration and computational environment shift to clouds which even todayis sadly lacking in the whole analytical ecosystem.

One interesting paradigm I find is that who ever masters the new computational requirements of unstructured large amounts of data ( not just row and column numeric data) but text sentiment analysis like data, and can integrate this for a complete customer solution in an easy to understand data visualization enabled system- that specific package,platform  or company would be leading the next decade

( Q -if the 90s were the Nineties will the next decade be the teen years)

SPSS Directions

spss

SPSS is bringing Directions – its conference in Las Vegas. I am probably skipping this one due to my illness post travel- but it sure seems interesting for potential SPSS watchers as well as competitors in what direction will the IBM- SPSS combine move. Interesting co-sponsor SAP which until recently had been warming up to TeraData (and through it)  SAS Institute.

It would be interesting to see if they combine some of the IBM Cognos reporting software with some in future prediction intervals thanks to SPSS analytics.

Like Sales Jan- Mar 2009  Apr-Jun 2009 Jul-Aug 2009 Sep -Dec 2009 ( expected)

Also of interest- how would SPSS react to cloud computing paradigms, software as a service licensing , existing R – Python support and potential cross sell opportunities to existing customer base for IBM.

 

 

Running Stats Softwares on Clouds

If you have a small beatup laptop and want to rent say heavy hardware and expensive software, a technology demonstration is underway at www.analysis.utk.edu

We basically use a Citrix Server to run R, SAS and JMP ( among others on the Web through the browser)

Note- If you just run this on a normal Web Server with lots of hardware packed behind it- you can start giving cloud computing solutions to your clients for free.

And eliminate the OS ( Windows unless you like them ) and HW ( Read HP etc etc)

thus reducing Total Cost of Ownership for your final customers.

Is Revolution / SAS / SPSS Listening.

See Screenshot-

(Note this can be of terrific use for say software companies wanting to license out new markets in Asia as they can also analyze usage data and share the efficiencies with newer users. By adopting a Software as a Service Model ( by optimizing the revenue stream for cannibalization effects) they can also gain an advantage over more established players ( like R and SPSS /IBM can do with its need for more hardware and broader sales and distribution network)

Note- these are my personal views only and dont represent the University’s views. For more on University of Tennessee ‘s technology initiatives please go to http://oit.utk.edu/index.php where Scott Studham is using his expertise to revolutionalize the way education costs can be lowered using technology.

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IBM Completes SPSS acquisition

Citation- ( Note the signatures at bottom- if they go back from their word you know where to look for a copy of their promises)

http://www.spss.com/ibm-announce/

A MESSAGE TO OUR CUSTOMERS AND BUSINESS PARTNERS

We are pleased to announce that IBM has completed the acquisition of SPSS Inc. As we mark this milestone, we would like to confirm our continued commitment to your success, and to highlight the benefits resulting from this acquisition.

SPSS will become part of IBM’s Business Analytics and Process Optimization organization. Your current SPSS account and support teams will continue to serve you. SPSS business partners will also continue to serve your needs through consultation, implementation, fulfillment and support, and will be invited to join the IBM Business Partner program.

For decades, IBM has been focused on providing the underlying information infrastructure to support business intelligence and performance management solutions. This includes databases and data warehouses to manage data, information integration and master data management to establish accurate and trusted information, as well as various analytic capabilities. With the addition of SPSS, IBM intends to further help customers solve new business challenges and meet the demand for more sophisticated, real-time uses of information.

SPSS provides a comprehensive predictive analytics portfolio that includes data collection, text and data mining, and advanced statistical analysis and predictive solutions, helping customers predict future events and proactively act upon insight to drive better business outcomes.

IBM intends to support your investments in SPSS by leveraging IBM’s world-class technology resources to deliver innovative solutions and expanded value. Building on a tradition of client success and satisfaction, IBM plans to leverage its extensive global resources to enhance and expand your service and support offerings, both directly and through business partners.

We’re very excited about the future of this important new relationship, and we look forward to continuing to provide innovative products and services for your business. For more information, please visit IBM online.

Sincerely,

Jack Noonan
CEO
SPSS Inc.

Deepak Advani
Vice President, Predictive Analytics
IBM Business Analytics & Process Optimization

SAS Data Mining 2009 Las Vegas

I am going to Las Vegas as a guest of SAS Institute for the Data Mining 2009 Conference. ( Note FCC regulations on bloggers come in effective December but my current policies are in ADVERTISE page unchanged since some months now)

With the big heavyweight of analytics, SAS Institute showcases events in both the SAS Global Forum and the Data Mining 2009

conference has a virtual who’s- who of partners there. This includes my friends at Aster Data and Shawn Rogers, Beye Network

in addition to Anne Milley, Senior Product Director. Anne is a frequent speaker for SAS Institute and has shrug off the beginning of the year NY Times spat with R /Open Source. True to their word they did go ahead and launch the SAS/IML with the interface to R – mindful of GPL as well as open source sentiments.

. While SPSS does have a data mining product there is considerable discussion on that help list today on what direction IBM will allow the data mining product to evolve.

Charlie Berger, from Oracle Data Mining , also announced at Oracle World that he is going to launch a GUI based data mining product for free ( or probably Software as a Service Model)- Thanks to Karl Rexer from Rexer Analytics for this tip.

While this is my first trip to Las Vegas ( a change from cold TN weather), I hope to read new stuff on data mining including sessions on blog and text mining and statistical usage of the same. Data Mining continues to be an enduring passion for me even though I need to get maybe a Divine Miracle for my Phd to get funded on that topic.

Also I may have some tweets at #M2009 for you and some video interviews/ photos. Ok- Watch this space.

ps _ We lost to Alabama #2 in the country by two points because 2 punts were blocked by hand which were as close as it gets.

Next week I hope to watch the South Carolina match in Orange Country.

Screenshot-32

SPSS gets Directions

A link to the Predictive Analytic Conference by SPSS ( the first after the Big Blue announcement) at http://www.spss.com/spssdirections/na/index.htm

Should be interesting for existing clients and SPSS watchers.

spss

SPSS /PASW Certification – Free until Sept 15

SPSS is launching their certification series online. You can qualify for a free Level 1certification as a beta tester til September 15.

If you know Level 1 SPSS, this is a very good chance to earn some resume glitter.

Go to
http://www.spss.com/certification/

spss

Note from Jon Peck- SPSS’s top technie

SPSS is starting a certification program for PASW Statistics…

In response to extensive user feedback, SPSS is pleased to introduce its first software certification program: the PASW Statistics (Level I) Exam. Earning your certification in PASW Statistics will give you an edge that will distinguish you from your peers. And, because SPSSInc.’s Predictive Analytics solutions are recognized globally, you can be sure that the PASW Statistics credential will carry the same significance wherever your career takes you.

The program is now in beta test.  The test fee is being waived if you register and complete the Level I exam as a beta participant

enter promo code SPSSBetaL1ED / SPSSBetaL1 and contact Certification@spss.com