The Math behind online strategy games

Online strategy games are the kind people play on Facebook , with thousands of multiple users logging in. The graphics are not as demanding as those in a virtual world (like www.secondlife.com or World of Warcraft http://www.worldofwarcraft.com )

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These graphical games are hugely entertaining and addictive. unfortunately World of Warcraft is not present either in India or China.

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However this post talks about simpler games (which are more like optimization problems). Here gamers get a specific or variable game currency to spend (which can be tokens, gold ,or dollars). The amounts can be fixed or varying dependent on current position. The gamer then has to allocate the currency into multiple resources that increase his net worth (or prevent his net worth from decreasing by other gamer’s interventions “attacks”) .  These multiple resources can be defensive (to prevent other gamers from stealing worth or value/score) , aggresive (to steal other gamers value) or passively accretive (enhances value on stand alone basis). Usually the costs of these resources are different with different benefits . The benefits are either fixed (like in the http://www.facebook.com games Triumph or Return of the Infernals ..below) or they vary (as in the game DopeWars Online).

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To further enhance the optimization complexity , gamers can form alliances or cartels to co ordinate strategy against other gamers.

Such games help in simulating operations production, market forces in business strategy (like the beer game) , and have now taken the leap into free online games thanks to Google’s Open social initiative and Facebook’s  pioneering application building by third party developers.

Ultimately they are simply optimization equations which seek to maximize net worth or score of a player subject to multiple fixed and variable constraints.

A good website to track the world of games is www.gamespot.com

This is a fast growing industry and creativity in designing a simple front end,financial resources to host servers , and some maths to run the back end optimization is all that is required .

You might just get some interesting cash flows from advertising, in game promotions,premium subscriptions , and bonus packs besides enjoying the game of course.

Get (or Atleast Try ) Clicky

After writing about various tools on online analytics, a good favorite is Clicky from http://getclicky.com/

It is recommended especially to WordPress users because it has a customized WP Plugin (which means all the fun without any of the code), has an affiliate referral program (it’s a tough economy !) and can help you track individual visitors with a great deal of analytical value.

You can view the www.getclicky.com site for their own benefit list.

Short of actually building a click stream capturing application (which is quite useful for tracking and building models for web mining), clickstream data is extremely helpful in generating insights as it is at a record /visitor level and can be sliced /diced and viewed for your custom insights.

As for building automated models using web data, their is another software from Kxen (www.Kxen.com). They have been around for some time , though losing out on a couple of big chances , but their web scoring module is definitely worth a dekko.

Keynes and Milton Friedman

The current economic situation is as follows –

1) Growth is high – at 8-9 % p.a

2) Inflation is even higher – at 11 % p.a

3) Inflation i s high for fuel , a huge importer (despite subsidies) and essential food items (a big importer.

4) Non -food credit growth is high (as per the Central Bank ..the Reserve Bank of India,RBI)

5) There is a general election next year , hence inflation is the top concern

6) Economy is dependent on services , and is sensitive to dollar depreciation. Inflow of investment and export dollars is almost matched by outflow for oil imports (nearly 70 %)

7) Equity markets are in a slump (down 25 % this year)

This has led to the RBI doing the following – clamp down on monetary supply by hiking key rates.

Situation is almost the same as the US except that the US has lower growth , nearly a recession , a distressed credit and mortgage market, and has big war expenditures.

Unfortunately  by clamping down on rates ,inflation is less likely to come down because both oil and food expenses are not discretionary expenses.By making capital goods more expensive, the manufacturers will likely pass the increased price to customers leading to demand slowdown first and price slowdown much later if at all. Oil and food will continue to be managed price items hence the subsidy bill on government is going to be higher thus leading to slower investment growth.It might just lead to a mortgage crisis in India as adjustable floating rates are now likely to touch 12 %.
By blindly following Friedman ‘s economic monetary policies of money control, the central banks are ignoring the fundamentals of the current crisis in which essential commodities are having increased prices, and growth is threated by global and financial market failures. Ironically these are conditions that have taken place almost 79 years ago in the macro economic event called Great Depression. A return to Keynesian economics and using the huge bulk up of stored dollars in foreign exchange funds to drive growth  rather than shrink money supply should be the way forward. It is necessary to grow out of this crisis rather than shrink and try and dodge it.

This will however require political leadership in driving long term infrastructure programs rather than short term monetary handouts and subsidies.

Analyzing Web Traffic by Google Trends

And the Google Lords are back with another software. This one helps analyze trends of websites (even if they are not yours) and so is pitched directly at Alexa .

It can be quite useful in analyzing internet web sites and also separating the fact and fiction from new web startups.And no you cant analyze Google sites from this software..the Sith Lords/Jedi of the internet thrive on mystery.

Here is an analysis of the big websites and you can see how Facebook overcame Myspace and why Yahoo.com is such a prize for Microsoft.

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facebook.com -Light Blue

myspace.com  -Red

yahoo.com -Orange

msn.com -Green

ebay.com -Dark Blue

Plurk vs Twitter: Sweet and Bitter

This is my Twitter Page. Note that my updates go down vertically almost like a blog (hence a micro blog)

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This is my http://www.plurk.com page. The updates go Horizontally almost like a Gantt Chart. This tool can be used for tracking projects also especially large , on the web projects…okay I am kidding.

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The change is nice…but Twitter is where my pals are.

Whats your micro blog ? (A micro blog is just a tool where you update your status continuously like  , to tell your friends , family or publish your stories /links to your latest blog posts). It is fun and sometimes very useful.

Review -Sarkar Raj

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Review -Bollywood Version of Godfather2 :Sarkar Raj

Okay , its not as good as Sarkar , the original “tribute” to Copolla’s classic Godfather by the maverick down again , up again desi Tarintino ,Ram Gopal Verma (who returns as director ). But thats true even of Godfather 2, and most sequels .

The good news – it is good enough for fans of pulp fiction style, violence ,strategy and intelligent movies. All and out a guy’s movie, Sarkar Raj is faster, bloodier , resorts to more camera tricks as if RGV is trying to prove something, and by the end of the movie he proves why he is the best director of violent Bollywood movies in the past two decades.
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A stellar star cast by India ‘s first family of acting, sees a violent and overweight Abhishek Bachhan playing Shanker “Remorseless” Nagre, Aishwarya Rai Bachhan playing beautiful ,and unwitting trap for him, and Amitabh as the aging and still defiant patriach. With a few hints to the Enron power project in Maharashtra , some classic Marathi pandering and even bold Thackeray family like hints (including the suffix “Raj” .)…this one is for you to go with your beer drinking buddies alone…… and enjoy. Definitely paisa wasool (thats value for money in Hindi) for a watch, and go with the subtitles version …it works equally well.

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