Here is a Data Visualization graphic from Office of the Joint Chiefs of Staff showing the clear way for Afghanistan.
Reminds me of the quote mistakenly attributed to Shakespeare-
Oh what a tangled web ( ^+^) we weave
When first we practice to deceive. – Sir Walter Scott (Marmion, 1808)
Disclaimer- As someone whose Hindu grandparents emigrated from Pakistan, I recommend reading ” A Brief History of the Sikhs” for a military /story on Afghanistan. The Sikhs were the first to conquer and occupy those deserted mountains- after Alexander of Macedonia/Seleceus
Graphic Citation
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Components/Photo/2009/December/091202/091203-engel-big-9a.jpg
DECISION STATS 
