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WordPress.com Analytics
The Analytics (or stats) dashboard at WordPress.com continues to disappoint, and is a major reason for people to move out of WordPress.com hosting (since they need better analytics like that by Google Analytics which cant be enabled on the default mode)
Its not really beautiful unlike the rest of WordPress Universe!
It can be made better if people try harder! Analytics matters
Here are some points
1) Bar charts and Histograms are not really the best way to visualize trends across time
2) Location Analytics is limited to just country level analysis and the heatmap (?) is aweful in terms of distinguishing gradients 
3) Referrers Tab needs to do a better job on distinguishing between mobile and non mobile traffic, social and non social traffic (and there are better ways to visualize than just a simple list)!
4) I cant even export my traffic stats (and forget an api !) so I am stuck with the bad data viz here
Why the West needs China to start moving towards cyber conflict
Hypothesis-
Western countries are running out of people to fight their wars. This is even more acute given the traditional and current demographic trends in both armed forces and general populations.
A shift to cyber conflict can help the West maintain parity over Eastern methods of assymetrical warfare (by human attrition /cyber conflict).
Declining resources will lead to converging conflicts of interest and dynamics in balance of power in the 21 st century.
Assumed Facts-
The launch of Sputnik by USSR led to the moon shot rush by the US.1960s
The proposed announcement of StarWars by USA led to unsustainable defence expenditure by USSR.1980s
The threat of cyber conflict and espionage by China (and Russian cyber actions in war with Georgia) has led to increasing budgets for cyber conflict research and defense in USA. -2010s
Assumptions-
If we do not learn from history, we are condemned to repeat it.
Declining Populations in the West and Rising Populations in the East in the 21 st century. The difference in military age personnel would be even more severe, due to more rapid aging in the west.
Economic output will be proportional to number of people employed as economies reach similar stages of maturity (Factor-Manufacturing-Services-Innovation)
Data-
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/unpp/panel_population.htm
http://www.census.gov/population/international/
Jill Dyche on 2012
In part 3 of the series for predictions for 2012, here is Jill Dyche, Baseline Consulting/DataFlux.
Part 2 was Timo Elliot, SAP at http://www.decisionstats.com/timo-elliott-on-2012/ and Part 1 was Jim Kobielus, Forrester at http://www.decisionstats.com/jim-kobielus-on-2012/
Ajay: What are the top trends you saw happening in 2011?
Well, I hate to say I saw them coming, but I did. A lot of managers committed some pretty predictable mistakes in 2011. Here are a few we witnessed in 2011 live and up close:
1. In the spirit of “size matters,” data warehouse teams continued to trumpet the volumes of stored data on their enterprise data warehouses. But a peek under the covers of these warehouses reveals that the data isn’t integrated. Essentially this means a variety of heterogeneous virtual data marts co-located on a single server. Neat. Big. Maybe even worthy of a magazine article about how many petabytes you’ve got. But it’s not efficient, and hardly the example of data standardization and re-use that everyone expects from analytical platforms these days.
2. Development teams still didn’t factor data integration and provisioning into their project plans in 2011. So we saw multiple projects spawn duplicate efforts around data profiling, cleansing, and standardization, not to mention conflicting policies and business rules for the same information. Bummer, since IT managers should know better by now. The problem is that no one owns the problem. Which brings me to the next mistake…
3. No one’s accountable for data governance. Yeah, there’s a council. And they meet. And they talk. Sometimes there’s lunch. And then nothing happens because no one’s really rewarded—or penalized for that matter—on data quality improvements or new policies. And so the reports spewing from the data mart are still fraught and no one trusts the resulting decisions.
But all is not lost since we’re seeing some encouraging signs already in 2012. And yes, I’d classify some of them as bona-fide trends.
Ajay: What are some of those trends?
Job descriptions for data stewards, data architects, Chief Data Officers, and other information-enabling roles are becoming crisper, and the KPIs for these roles are becoming more specific. Data management organizations are being divorced from specific lines of business and from IT, becoming specialty organizations—okay, COEs if you must—in their own rights. The value proposition for master data management now includes not just the reconciliation of heterogeneous data elements but the support of key business strategies. And C-level executives are holding the data people accountable for improving speed to market and driving down costs—not just delivering cleaner data. In short, data is becoming a business enabler. Which, I have to just say editorially, is better late than never!
Ajay: Anything surprise you, Jill?
I have to say that Obama mentioning data management in his State of the Union speech was an unexpected but pretty powerful endorsement of the importance of information in both the private and public sector.
I’m also sort of surprised that data governance isn’t being driven more frequently by the need for internal and external privacy policies. Our clients are constantly asking us about how to tightly-couple privacy policies into their applications and data sources. The need to protect PCI data and other highly-sensitive data elements has made executives twitchy. But they’re still not linking that need to data governance.
I should also mention that I’ve been impressed with the people who call me who’ve had their “aha!” moment and realize that data transcends analytic systems. It’s operational, it’s pervasive, and it’s dynamic. I figured this epiphany would happen in a few years once data quality tools became a commodity (they’re far from it). But it’s happening now. And that’s good for all types of businesses.
About-
Jill Dyché has written three books and numerous articles on the business value of information technology. She advises clients and executive teams on leveraging technology and information to enable strategic business initiatives. Last year her company Baseline Consulting was acquired by DataFlux Corporation, where she is currently Vice President of Thought Leadership. Find her blog posts on www.dataroundtable.com.
Jim Kobielus on 2012
Jim Kobielus revisits the predictions he made in 2011 (and a summary of 2010) , and makes some fresh ones for 2012. For technology watchers, this is an article by one of the gurus of enterprise software.
All of those trends predictions (at http://www.decisionstats.com/brief-interview-with-james-g-kobielus/ ) came true in 2011, and are in full force in 2012 as well.Here are my predictions for 2012, and the links to the 3 blogposts in which I made them last month:
The Year Ahead in Next Best Action? Here’s the Next Best Thing to a Crystal Ball!
- The next-best-action market will continue to coalesce around core solution capabilities.
- Data scientists will become the principal application developers for next best action.
- Real-world experiments will become the new development paradigm in next best action.
The Year Ahead in Advanced Analytics? Advances on All Fronts!
- Open-source platforms will expand their footprint in advanced analytics.
- Data science centers of excellence will spring up everywhere.
- Predictive analytics and interactive exploration will enter the mainstream BI user experience:
The Year Ahead In Big Data? Big, Cool, New Stuff Looms Large!
- Enterprise Hadoop deployments will expand at a rapid clip.
- In-memory analytics platforms will grow their footprint.
- Graph databases will come into vogue.
And in an exclusive and generous favor for DecisionStats, Jim does some crystal gazing for the cloud computing field in 2012-
Cloud/SaaS EDWs will cross the enterprise-adoption inflection point. In 2012, cloud and software-as-a-service (SaaS) enterprise data warehouses (EDWs), offered on a public subscription basis, will gain greater enterprise adoption as a complement or outright replacement for appliance- and software-based EDWs. A growing number of established and startup EDW vendors will roll out cloud/SaaS “Big Data” offerings. Many of these will supplement and extend RDBMS and columnar technologies with Hadoop, key-value, graph, document, and other new database architectures.
About-
http://www.forrester.com/rb/analyst/james_kobielus
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James G. Kobielus Senior Analyst |
RESEARCH FOCUS
James serves Business Process & Application Development & Delivery Professionals. He is a leading expert on data warehousing, predictive analytics, data mining, and complex event processing. In addition to his core coverage areas, James contributes to Forrester’s research in business intelligence, data integration, data quality, and master data management.
PREVIOUS WORK EXPERIENCE
James has a long history in IT research and consulting and has worked for both vendors and research firms. Most recently, he was at Current Analysis, an IT research firm, where he was a principal analyst covering topics ranging from data warehousing to data integration and the Semantic Web. Prior to that position, James was a senior technical systems analyst at Exostar (a hosted supply chain management and eBusiness hub for the aerospace and defense industry). In this capacity, James was responsible for identifying and specifying product/service requirements for federated identity, PKI, and other products. He also worked as an analyst for the Burton Group and was previously employed by LCC International, DynCorp, ADEENA, International Center for Information Technologies, and the North American Telecommunications Association. He is both well versed and experienced in product and market assessments. James is a widely published business/technology author and has spoken at many industry events.
Contact -
Twitter: http://twitter.com/jameskobielus
Business Metrics
Business Metrics (a partial extract from my upcoming book “R for Business Analytics”
Business Metrics are important variables that are collected on a periodic basis to assess the health and sustainability of a business. They should have the following properties-
1) What is a Business Metric-The absence of collection of regular update of the business metric could cause business disruption by incorrect and incomplete decision making.
2) Cost of Business Metrics- The costs of collection, storage and updating of the business metric is less than the opportunity costs of wrong decision making cause by lack of information of that business metric.
3) Continuity in your Business Metrics- The business metrics are continuous in comparing across time periods and business units- if necessary the assumptions for smoothing the comparisons should be listed in the business metric presentation itself.
4) Simplify your Business Metrics- Business metrics can be derived as well from other business metrics. If necessary and to avoid clutter only the most important business metrics should be presented, or the metrics with the biggest deviation from past trends should be mentioned.
5) Normalize your Business Metrics- Scale of the business metric units should be comparable to other business metrics as well as significant to emphasize the difference in numbers.
6) Standardize your Business Metrics- Dimension of business metrics should be increased to enhance comparison and contrasts without enhancing complexity. This means adding an extra dimension for analysis rather than a 2 by 2 comparison, to add time /geography/ employee/business owner as a dimension .
Amazing IBM Tech Trends 2011 report
I was reading the amazing Tech Trend 2011 report by IBM at https://www.ibm.com/developerworks/mydeveloperworks/files/app/person/060001TJG2/file/110ccd08-25d9-4932-9bcc-c583868c9f31
What really amazed me is that distortions introduced in Data Visualization even in length of the graphs.
See below and click to enlarge- my notes are in black font, they refer to the length of the weird green bar(?). This I think is one of the worst graphs I have seen this year.









